http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142 ... DS=blu-ray
Great year for Blu ray... The format is finally taking off!
I saw several Disney titles that were very hard to find at Best Buy (F2k and B & B among them) and lots of people are buying Blu ray first preference OR Blu ray only.
I don't think DVD will die out completely... It has too many uses.
It just won't be the dominant home video format anymore.
1) It's a better format for preserving video-taped films and newscasts
2) Many old films just won't look better on Blu ray so why spend all that money for remastering when DVD is good enough? There are TV shows and older films that simply won't be worth the upgrade even if suitable masters are found. The original film elements or best surviving copies have to be in way better shape for BD mastering than they had to be for lower-res DVD. It's debatable whether films in the current shape of King Kong or the classic Universal Monster films are worth the effort since current elements for DVD are probably the best these films will ever look.
As for animated theatrical shorts, the situation may be even worse with many shorts lacking surviving 35mm masters and some in already semi-mediocre shape that aren't getting restoration even now. It's all about the profit motive and who gives enough of a darn to fix films that aren't 70 minutes long.
Fortunately, Disney took care of the bulk of its films.
The same can't be said for Warner and MGM animation.
3) DVD is still a far cheaper home video medium for archiving old films and doing VHS/LD transfers... The only thing I would add (reminder #3000) is that DVD-Rs and CD-Rs degrade over time. They may not change to mush but they become progressively harder for many machines to read and well, they rot!
My oldest CD-R (audio) is 15 years old. Right now, I can't play it on any audio device other than my computer. I took pre-emptive measures and dumped the contents to a new CD-R after ripping the original CD-R audio. Sad thing is that this is very temporary and rot will set in with the newer copy even under the best conditions!
I have read that BD-R is far more reliable and durable than CD-R or DVD-R. Something about the recording method; it doesn't use chemical dyes like the two older 5-inch formats. It's more stable over time than the other two. I've had DVD-R's go bad within two years!
A decent BD-RW writer (high enough speed so I don't wait into old age) is definitely an item I want for my next computer. I intend to use it to archive a lot of old programs unreleased to DVD or that have had inferior DVD releases. It's only a matter of time.
In the meantime, the only truly reliable method for digital preservation is a hard drive. It's the cheapest storage method for the price. Solid state may not be affected by extreme magnetic fields but it's far too expensive and impractical for archiving film footage.
I'll probably get a high-quality 27" HDTV monitor first...